Seahawks Vs. Patriots: Game Odds, Preview
Super Bowl LX|Seahawks vs. Patriots: Game Odds, Preview & Best Options
One game left. Winner take all. The Seattle Seahawks will take on with the New England Patriots this Sunday in Super Bowl LX; live from Levi Stadium in Santa Clara, California
With this being the most significant game of the year, there was no method I might cover this alone. Thankfully, our really own Danny Burke offered to assist take on the weight and break down Super Bowl LX.
Excitement is in the air so let's jump right into the huge video game.
For additional details on choices, props, moneylines, and more for Super Bowl LX, take a look at our NFL Picks Page or our NFL Odds Page.
Game Information
Matchup Information
- Location: Levi Stadium; Santa Clara, California.
- Date: Sunday, February 8th, 2026
- Kickoff: 6:30 PM EST
Quarterback Matchup
- Seattle Seahawks: Sam Darnold (2025: 16-3|237.8 YPG|29 TD|14 INT).
- New England Patriots: Drake Maye (2025: 17-3|246.4 YPG|35 TD|10 INT)
Analysis & Breakdown
What's the Patriot Way? Winning games, no matter how unsightly it gets.
Last week's matchup with the Broncos was exactly that. It was cold, snowy and winds were blowing every which method. The game saw less than 400 total backyards between the two teams, simply 17 overall points and a scoreless fourth quarter.
Drake Maye tossed for a season low 86 backyards, finished less than 50% of his passes, however he did run in the one and just Patriots touchdown. Against Houston, Maye tossed for 179 yards, 3 touchdowns, 1 interception and he lost 2 fumbles.
In the postseason, Maye's played 3 video games and he's finishing just 55.8% of his passes, averaging 177.7 pass backyards per video game, with 4 touchdown passes and 5 total turnovers. It hasn't been quite, but that's why there's 2 sides of the football.
New England leads all playoff teams in opponent points enabled (8.7/ game), opponent lawns (208.7/ video game), takeaways (8) and sacks (12.0 ). During the regular season, this defense ranks fourth in points permitted, 9th in pass backyards allowed and with Christian Gonzalez back on the field; one of the most feared corners in the video game.
The Patriots are developed to win awful, but their also developed to win pretty. Maye's been an MVP prospect for the majority of the year and he's just in his very first year as the group's complete time starter. This video game's forming up to be one for the books and I could not be more excited.
The Seahawks have actually been extraordinary on both sides of the ball, however without this defense it's difficult to imagine a world in which they make it this far. The Hawks rank 1st in points allowed, 1st in challenger EPA/play (-0.113 ), 3rd in opponent rush backyards and 2nd in challenger backyards per play. They have actually got the the fifth finest redzone defense, rank 6th in total sacks and have actually forced the fifth most turnovers.
Both their protection system and defensive line have actually been graded in the top 5 this year and the mastermind behind everything is Head Coach Mike Macdonald. In just his second year as a head coach, Macdonald's constructed one of the toughest defenses in the NFL and his defensive playbook is deeper than some offending playbooks I have actually seen.
On the offensive side, it's been a Klint Kubiak masterclass. He's running this Seahawks offense to and it's result in the NFL's 3rd finest offense, balancing 28.4 points per video game. The group ranks 8th in pass lawns, 10th in rush yards and 3rd in backyards per play. The problem with Seattle's offense has been Sam Darnold's turnovers.
Darnold lead the league with 20 total turnovers, 14 interceptions and 6 fumbles lost. If not for his defense requiring 25 turnovers of their own, this Seahawks group may look very various. Darnold absolutely appeared like a top 10 QB this year however the turnover issues are something to monitor going into the big video game.
Varun's Best Bets
Mack Hollins o24.5 Receiving Yards (-110)|Lucky Rebel
Mack Hollins made his return to the field recently and regardless of seeing simply 2 targets, he attracted both for 51 lawns in the frigid temperatures of Denver, Colorado. Hollins has actually also cleared this line in 9 of his L11 games, balancing 5.3 targets and 50.8 getting backyards per video game.
Hollins and Maye have established a connection that's been a ton of enjoyable to enjoy and one that usually consists of usage of the deep ball. He's seeing a typical depth of target of 13.3 yards/target, he hasn't dropped a single ball this season and he's getting a bulk of his snaps out wide.
Maye ended up the year top-10 in deep toss rate and Hollins sits second on the team in targets of 20+ yards. The Seahawks are offering up almost 70% of their receiving production to outside broad receivers this year and it's why this line simply feels a bit low.
Byron Murphy II to Record a Sack (+170)|Lucky Rebel
Might noise a little odd initially, however Byron Murphy II remains in his second year in the NFL and he's been great. He's got 7.0 sacks on the year and in spite of not taping a sack up until now in the postseason, he's been a key part of this protective line. Murphy leads the Seahawks in pass rush win rate up until now in the playoffs and he's had the ability to generate 7 pressures doing it; just no sacks.
Murphy's also using the ideal side of that defensive line, at the DT spot. The Patriots have actually quit 5 sacks up until now in the postseason and 67% of those sacks have actually originated from the left side of that offending line. During the routine season it was more of the very same, of the 73% of sacks that might be credited to the offending line, 45% of that came from the left side; generally from the interior.
The kid's due to tape-record his very first postseason sack and what better video game to do in.
Danny's Best options
We've lastly made it to the big game. It's constantly a bittersweet sensation during the two-week lead-up to the Super Bowl, however hopefully we remain in for a heck of a game. And of course, with it comes a variety of betting opportunities.
I likewise took a few shots in the Super Bowl MVP market. You can click here for a more in-depth breakdown of the gamers I'll be sweating to take home the award.
Kenneth Walker o20.5 Receiving Yards (-114)|Lucky Rebel
The first bet I positioned was Kenneth Walker to review his 20.5 getting backyard line. Walker has actually played a meaningful role in the passing game for much of the season, however we have actually seen a visible uptick in that involvement since his backfield mate, Zach Charbonnet, went down with an injury in the NFC Divisional Round.
In that video game, Sam Darnold targeted Walker three times. He caught all 3 passes and turned them into 29 lawns. In the NFC Championship Game, Walker transported in all 4 of his targets for 49 backyards against the Rams. He's straight gaining from consistent volume, and when Darnold feels pressure in the backfield - which he should, given the defensive method we're most likely to see from New England - he'll want to inspect the ball down to among his top playmakers.
Walker has been exceptional at creating space in the death game, and I anticipate more of the exact same in the Super Bowl. During the routine season, opposing running backs balanced over 30 receiving backyards on roughly five catches per video game against the Patriots. They have actually shown vulnerability to backs through the air, which sets Walker approximately make an impact in that department.
Sam Darnold o2.5 Rushing Attempts (+115)|Lucky Rebel
Credit to our resident intern, Alex Bohling, for screaming this one out on one of our programs last week. The rate is sitting as high as +115, which is appealing on its own, however the path to the over exists also.
While mobility isn't typically associated with Darnold, we have actually seen him use his legs more regularly as of late. He logged three brings in the AFC Championship Game, none in the Divisional Round blowout where scrambling wasn't essential, and he closed the regular season on a five-game streak with at least 3 hurrying attempts in each contest.
One key aspect here is the potential for kneel-downs. I'm anticipating the Seahawks to win this game, which opens the door for those late-game rushing attempts to help push this prop over the number if Darnold does not get there through scrambles earlier.
More From Danny
When it comes to the video game in general, as I discussed, I do believe the Seahawks triumph. That said, the recent improvements from this New England defense provide me some pause when it concerns laying -4.5 with Seattle preflop.
I'm not entirely convinced the Patriots defense is as dominant as it's examined the previous month, or if that's just been a by-product of their competitors. New England played the league's simplest schedule during the regular season and graded out as more of a typical defense in general, however they have actually revealed a noticeable uptick in the postseason - especially in the red zone.
Nevertheless, the Seahawks are the more complete group, and I still anticipate them to finish on top. Rather than laying the number pregame, I'll be seeking to assault Seattle live and hopefully grab a much better number than -4.5.
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